Arsenal crestArsenalvsNorwich City crestNorwich City

Arsenal 1-0 Norwich City — Result, H2H & Form

English Premier League 2021-2022Sat, 11 Sep 2021 14:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Arsenal86%

Tofiko86% / 12% / 2%
Market66% / 20% / 14%
  • Arsenal
  • Draw
  • Norwich City

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Arsenal, rating it at 85.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Arsenal won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Norwich City's last 5 produced 26 goals — 5.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Arsenal's 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Norwich City's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 26 Sep 2026.

Arsenal: LWWWW

Norwich City: LLLWW

Head-to-head

As of 26 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2021-12-26Norwich City vs Arsenal0–5
2021-09-11Arsenal vs Norwich City1–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Arsenal vs Norwich City?
Tofiko's model favours Arsenal (86% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Arsenal vs Norwich City kick off?
Sat, 11 Sep 2021 14:00 GMT — English Premier League 2021-2022.
What is the Arsenal vs Norwich City head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legNorwich 0-5 Arsenal26 Dec 2021 →