Arsenalvs
WatfordArsenal 1-0 Watford — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier League 2021-2022Sun, 07 Nov 2021 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Arsenal82%
- Arsenal 82%
- Draw 14%
- Watford 4%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Arsenal, rating it at 82.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Arsenal won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 82.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 13.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
Arsenal: WWWDD
Watford: LDLDW
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2022-03-06 | Watford vs Arsenal | 2–3 |
| 2021-11-07 | Arsenal vs Watford | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Arsenal vs Watford?
- Tofiko's model favours Arsenal (82% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Arsenal vs Watford kick off?
- Sun, 07 Nov 2021 14:00 GMT — English Premier League 2021-2022.
- What is the Arsenal vs Watford head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.