Aston Villavs
Norwich CityAston Villa 2-0 Norwich City — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier League 2021-2022Sat, 30 Apr 2022 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Aston Villa78%
- Aston Villa 78%
- Draw 16%
- Norwich City 6%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Aston Villa, rating it at 78.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Aston Villa won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 78.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 15.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 4 Sep 2026.
Aston Villa: LLLLL
Norwich City: LWWLL
Head-to-head
As of 4 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2022-04-30 | Aston Villa vs Norwich City | 2–0 |
| 2021-12-14 | Norwich City vs Aston Villa | 0–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Aston Villa vs Norwich City?
- Tofiko's model favours Aston Villa (78% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Aston Villa vs Norwich City kick off?
- Sat, 30 Apr 2022 14:00 GMT — English Premier League 2021-2022.
- What is the Aston Villa vs Norwich City head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.