Southampton F.C.vs
Aston Villa F.C.Southampton F.C. 0-3 Aston Villa F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier League 2024-2025Sat, 12 Apr 2025 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Aston Villa F.C.59%
- Southampton F.C. 19%
- Draw 22%
- Aston Villa F.C. 59%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Aston Villa F.C., rating it at 58.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Southampton F.C. won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 22.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Southampton F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Southampton F.C.: DWLWL
Aston Villa F.C.: LLLLL
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 8Games
- 2.38Avg goals
- 13%Both scored
- 38%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-12 | Southampton F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 0–3 |
| 2024-12-07 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Southampton F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2023-01-21 | Southampton vs Aston Villa | 0–1 |
| 2022-09-16 | Aston Villa vs Southampton | 1–0 |
| 2022-03-05 | Aston Villa vs Southampton | 4–0 |
| 2021-11-05 | Southampton vs Aston Villa | 1–0 |
| 2021-01-30 | Southampton vs Aston Villa | 0–1 |
| 2020-11-01 | Aston Villa vs Southampton | 3–4 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Southampton F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Aston Villa F.C. (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Southampton F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 12 Apr 2025 14:00 GMT — English Premier League 2024-2025.
- What is the Southampton F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 4 home wins, 0 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.38 goals per game.