Southampton F.C.vs
AFC BournemouthSouthampton F.C. 1-3 AFC Bournemouth — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier League 2024-2025Sat, 15 Feb 2025 15:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AFC Bournemouth52%
- Southampton F.C. 25%
- Draw 23%
- AFC Bournemouth 52%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick AFC Bournemouth, rating it at 52.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Southampton F.C. won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 52.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AFC Bournemouth's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Southampton F.C.: DWLWL
AFC Bournemouth: DLLDW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-15 | Southampton F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 1–3 |
| 2024-09-30 | AFC Bournemouth vs Southampton F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2023-04-27 | Southampton vs AFC Bournemouth | 0–1 |
| 2022-10-19 | AFC Bournemouth vs Southampton | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Southampton F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth?
- Tofiko's model favours AFC Bournemouth (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Southampton F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth kick off?
- Sat, 15 Feb 2025 15:00 GMT — English Premier League 2024-2025.
- What is the Southampton F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.