Chelsea F.C.vs
Leicester City F.C.Chelsea F.C. 1-0 Leicester City F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier League 2024-2025Sun, 09 Mar 2025 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chelsea F.C.65%
- Chelsea F.C. 65%
- Draw 20%
- Leicester City F.C. 15%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Chelsea F.C., rating it at 65.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Chelsea F.C. won 2 of 8, with 1 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Chelsea F.C.'s last 5 produced 24 goals — 4.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Leicester City F.C.'s 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 20.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Chelsea F.C.: WWWWD
Leicester City F.C.: WDLLD
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 8Games
- 2.63Avg goals
- 63%Both scored
- 63%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-09 | Chelsea F.C. vs Leicester City F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2024-11-23 | Leicester City F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2023-03-11 | Leicester City vs Chelsea FC | 1–3 |
| 2022-08-27 | Chelsea FC vs Leicester City | 2–1 |
| 2022-05-19 | Chelsea FC vs Leicester City | 1–1 |
| 2021-11-20 | Leicester City vs Chelsea FC | 0–3 |
| 2021-05-18 | Chelsea FC vs Leicester City | 2–1 |
| 2021-01-19 | Leicester City vs Chelsea FC | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Chelsea F.C. vs Leicester City F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Chelsea F.C. (65% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Chelsea F.C. vs Leicester City F.C. kick off?
- Sun, 09 Mar 2025 14:00 GMT — English Premier League 2024-2025.
- What is the Chelsea F.C. vs Leicester City F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.63 goals per game.