Chelsea F.C.vs
Southampton F.C.Chelsea F.C. 4-0 Southampton F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier League 2024-2025Tue, 25 Feb 2025 20:15 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chelsea F.C.74%
- Chelsea F.C. 74%
- Draw 18%
- Southampton F.C. 8%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Chelsea F.C., rating it at 73.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Chelsea F.C. won 2 of 8, with 2 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 17.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Chelsea F.C.: WWWWD
Southampton F.C.: DWLWL
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 8Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 63%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-25 | Chelsea F.C. vs Southampton F.C. | 4–0 |
| 2024-12-04 | Southampton F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 1–5 |
| 2023-02-18 | Chelsea FC vs Southampton | 0–1 |
| 2022-08-30 | Southampton vs Chelsea FC | 2–1 |
| 2022-04-09 | Southampton vs Chelsea FC | 0–6 |
| 2021-10-02 | Chelsea FC vs Southampton | 3–1 |
| 2021-02-20 | Southampton vs Chelsea FC | 1–1 |
| 2020-10-17 | Chelsea FC vs Southampton | 3–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Chelsea F.C. vs Southampton F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Chelsea F.C. (74% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Chelsea F.C. vs Southampton F.C. kick off?
- Tue, 25 Feb 2025 20:15 GMT — English Premier League 2024-2025.
- What is the Chelsea F.C. vs Southampton F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.