Everton F.C.vs
Liverpool F.C.Everton F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSat, 28 Nov 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Liverpool F.C.52%
- Everton F.C. 23%
- Draw 26%
- Liverpool F.C. 52%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Liverpool F.C., rating it at 51.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Everton F.C. won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Liverpool F.C.'s last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Everton F.C.'s 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 25.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Everton F.C.: WLDWL
Liverpool F.C.: WWDLD
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.40Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Everton F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2025-09-20 | Liverpool F.C. vs Everton F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2025-04-02 | Liverpool F.C. vs Everton F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2025-02-12 | Everton F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2024-04-24 | Everton vs Liverpool | 2–0 |
| 2023-10-21 | Liverpool vs Everton | 2–0 |
| 2023-02-13 | Liverpool vs Everton | 2–0 |
| 2022-09-03 | Everton vs Liverpool | 0–0 |
| 2022-04-24 | Liverpool vs Everton | 2–0 |
| 2021-12-01 | Everton vs Liverpool | 1–4 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Everton F.C. vs Liverpool F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Liverpool F.C. (52% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Everton F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 28 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Everton F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.40 goals per game.