Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.vs
Newcastle United F.C.Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSat, 28 Nov 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.44%
- Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. 44%
- Draw 29%
- Newcastle United F.C. 27%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Brighton & Hove Albion F.C., rating it at 43.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. won 2 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.: WLLWL
Newcastle United F.C.: LDWLW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.60Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2025-10-18 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2025-05-04 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2024-10-19 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2024-05-11 | Newcastle vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 1–1 |
| 2023-09-02 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Newcastle | 3–1 |
| 2023-05-18 | Newcastle vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 4–1 |
| 2022-08-13 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Newcastle | 0–0 |
| 2022-03-05 | Newcastle vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 2–1 |
| 2021-11-06 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Newcastle | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 28 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 4 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.60 goals per game.