Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.vs
Newcastle United F.C.Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSun, 29 Nov 2026 14:05 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. or draw73%
1X2: model backs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. at 44% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.
- Draw
- Newcastle United F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. or draw73%
- Draw or Newcastle United F.C.56%
- Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. or Newcastle United F.C.71%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.555%
- Under 2.545%
Both teams to score
- Brighton & Hove Albion F.C., last 10 home games2 of 10
- Newcastle United F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Brighton & Hove Albion F.C., rating it at 43.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. won 2 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 47 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.: WWWWD
Newcastle United F.C.: LWLWD
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 47 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.60Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2025-10-18 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2025-05-04 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2024-10-19 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2024-05-11 | Newcastle vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 1–1 |
| 2023-09-02 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Newcastle | 3–1 |
| 2023-05-18 | Newcastle vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 4–1 |
| 2022-08-13 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Newcastle | 0–0 |
| 2022-03-05 | Newcastle vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 2–1 |
| 2021-11-06 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Newcastle | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. kick off?
- Sun, 29 Nov 2026 14:05 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 4 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.60 goals per game.