Arsenal F.C.vs
Manchester City F.C.Arsenal F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSun, 29 Nov 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Arsenal F.C.39%
- Arsenal F.C.
- Draw
- Manchester City F.C.
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Arsenal F.C. or draw69%
- Draw or Manchester City F.C.61%
- Arsenal F.C. or Manchester City F.C.70%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.550%
- Under 2.550%
Both teams to score
- Arsenal F.C., last 10 home games5 of 10
- Manchester City F.C., last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Arsenal F.C., rating it at 38.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Arsenal F.C. won 1 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 47 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Arsenal F.C.: WLWWW
Manchester City F.C.: WWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 47 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.10Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Arsenal F.C.(N) vs Manchester City F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Manchester City F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2025-09-21 | Arsenal F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2025-02-02 | Arsenal F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. | 5–1 |
| 2024-09-22 | Manchester City F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2024-03-31 | Manchester City vs Arsenal | 0–0 |
| 2023-10-08 | Arsenal vs Manchester City | 1–0 |
| 2023-04-26 | Manchester City vs Arsenal | 4–1 |
| 2023-02-15 | Arsenal vs Manchester City | 1–3 |
| 2022-01-01 | Arsenal vs Manchester City | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Arsenal F.C. vs Manchester City F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Arsenal F.C. (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Arsenal F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. kick off?
- Sun, 29 Nov 2026 16:30 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Arsenal F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.