Hull City A.F.C.vs
Derby County F.C.Hull City A.F.C. 4-2 Derby County F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipTue, 24 Feb 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Hull City A.F.C.45%
Tofiko45% / 22% / 32%
Market42% / 28% / 30%
- Hull City A.F.C.
- Draw
- Derby County F.C.
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Hull City A.F.C., rating it at 45.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Hull City A.F.C. won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
Recent form
As of 24 Sep 2026.
Hull City A.F.C.: LDLDW
Derby County F.C.: DLLLW
Head-to-head
As of 24 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 4.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-24 | Hull City A.F.C. vs Derby County F.C. | 4–2 |
| 2025-11-04 | Derby County F.C. vs Hull City A.F.C. | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Hull City A.F.C. vs Derby County F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Hull City A.F.C. (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Hull City A.F.C. vs Derby County F.C. kick off?
- Tue, 24 Feb 2026 19:45 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Hull City A.F.C. vs Derby County F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.50 goals per game.