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Hull City A.F.C. crestHull City A.F.C.vsWatford F.C. crestWatford F.C.

Hull City A.F.C. vs Watford F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats

EFL ChampionshipTue, 03 Feb 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Hull City A.F.C. 00 Watford F.C.

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Hull City A.F.C.50%

Hull City A.F.C. 50%
Draw 23%
Watford F.C. 28%
  • Hull City A.F.C. 50%
  • Draw 23%
  • Watford F.C. 28%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Hull City A.F.C., rating it at 49.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Hull City A.F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 49.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 22.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Hull City A.F.C.: DWWWW

Watford F.C.: LWDLL

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-03Hull City A.F.C. vs Watford F.C.0–0
2025-09-27Watford F.C. vs Hull City A.F.C.2–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Hull City A.F.C. vs Watford F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Hull City A.F.C. (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Hull City A.F.C. vs Watford F.C. kick off?
Tue, 03 Feb 2026 19:45 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Hull City A.F.C. vs Watford F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

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