Leeds United 1-1 Leicester City — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier League 2022-2023Tue, 25 Apr 2023 19:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Leeds United49%
- Leeds United 49%
- Draw 22%
- Leicester City 29%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Leeds United, rating it at 48.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Leeds United won 1 of 6, with 2 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 22.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 4 Sep 2026.
Leeds United: DWWWD
Leicester City: WDLLD
Head-to-head
As of 4 Sep 2026.
- 6Games
- 2.67Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-04-25 | Leeds United vs Leicester City | 1–1 |
| 2022-10-20 | Leicester City vs Leeds United | 2–0 |
| 2022-03-05 | Leicester City vs Leeds United | 1–0 |
| 2021-11-07 | Leeds United vs Leicester City | 1–1 |
| 2021-01-31 | Leicester City vs Leeds United | 1–3 |
| 2020-11-02 | Leeds United vs Leicester City | 1–4 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Leeds United vs Leicester City?
- Tofiko's model favours Leeds United (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Leeds United vs Leicester City kick off?
- Tue, 25 Apr 2023 19:00 GMT — English Premier League 2022-2023.
- What is the Leeds United vs Leicester City head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.