Leeds United crestLeeds UnitedvsWatford crestWatford

Leeds United 1-0 Watford — Result, H2H & Form

English Premier League 2021-2022Sat, 02 Oct 2021 14:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Leeds United63%

Tofiko63% / 21% / 16%
Market58% / 23% / 19%
  • Leeds United
  • Draw
  • Watford

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Leeds United, rating it at 63.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Leeds United won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Leeds United's last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. Watford's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.

Recent form

As of 26 Sep 2026.

Leeds United: DWLDD

Watford: LLWLL

Head-to-head

As of 26 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2022-04-09Watford vs Leeds United0–3
2021-10-02Leeds United vs Watford1–0

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FAQ

Who will win Leeds United vs Watford?
Tofiko's model favours Leeds United (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Leeds United vs Watford kick off?
Sat, 02 Oct 2021 14:00 GMT — English Premier League 2021-2022.
What is the Leeds United vs Watford head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legWatford 0-3 Leeds9 Apr 2022 →