Leicester Cityvs
BurnleyLeicester City 2-2 Burnley — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier League 2021-2022Sat, 25 Sep 2021 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Leicester City54%
- Leicester City 54%
- Draw 22%
- Burnley 24%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Leicester City, rating it at 53.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Leicester City won 2 of 4, with 2 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 53.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
Leicester City: WDLLD
Burnley: DLDLD
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2022-03-01 | Burnley vs Leicester City | 0–2 |
| 2021-09-25 | Leicester City vs Burnley | 2–2 |
| 2021-03-03 | Burnley vs Leicester City | 1–1 |
| 2020-09-20 | Leicester City vs Burnley | 4–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Leicester City vs Burnley?
- Tofiko's model favours Leicester City (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Leicester City vs Burnley kick off?
- Sat, 25 Sep 2021 14:00 GMT — English Premier League 2021-2022.
- What is the Leicester City vs Burnley head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.