Leicester City F.C.vs
Liverpool F.C.Leicester City F.C. 0-1 Liverpool F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier League 2024-2025Sun, 20 Apr 2025 15:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Liverpool F.C.60%
- Leicester City F.C. 20%
- Draw 20%
- Liverpool F.C. 60%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Liverpool F.C., rating it at 59.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Leicester City F.C. won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Liverpool F.C.'s last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Leicester City F.C.'s 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 20.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Liverpool F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Leicester City F.C.: WDLLD
Liverpool F.C.: DDWLL
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 8Games
- 2.63Avg goals
- 38%Both scored
- 63%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-20 | Leicester City F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2024-12-26 | Liverpool F.C. vs Leicester City F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2023-05-15 | Leicester City vs Liverpool | 0–3 |
| 2022-12-30 | Liverpool vs Leicester City | 2–1 |
| 2022-02-10 | Liverpool vs Leicester City | 2–0 |
| 2021-12-28 | Leicester City vs Liverpool | 1–0 |
| 2021-02-13 | Leicester City vs Liverpool | 3–1 |
| 2020-11-22 | Liverpool vs Leicester City | 3–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Leicester City F.C. vs Liverpool F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Liverpool F.C. (60% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Leicester City F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. kick off?
- Sun, 20 Apr 2025 15:30 GMT — English Premier League 2024-2025.
- What is the Leicester City F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 6 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.63 goals per game.