Liverpoolvs
Luton TownLiverpool 4-1 Luton Town — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier League 2023-2024Wed, 21 Feb 2024 19:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Liverpool80%
- Liverpool 80%
- Draw 13%
- Luton Town 7%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Liverpool, rating it at 79.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Liverpool won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 79.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 13.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Luton Town's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Liverpool: DDWLL
Luton Town: WLLDW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-21 | Liverpool vs Luton Town | 4–1 |
| 2023-11-05 | Luton Town vs Liverpool | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Liverpool vs Luton Town?
- Tofiko's model favours Liverpool (80% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Liverpool vs Luton Town kick off?
- Wed, 21 Feb 2024 19:30 GMT — English Premier League 2023-2024.
- What is the Liverpool vs Luton Town head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.