Manchester City F.C.vs
Leicester City F.C.Manchester City F.C. 2-0 Leicester City F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier League 2024-2025Wed, 02 Apr 2025 18:45 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Manchester City F.C.78%
- Manchester City F.C. 78%
- Draw 15%
- Leicester City F.C. 7%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Manchester City F.C., rating it at 78.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Manchester City F.C. won 2 of 8. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Manchester City F.C.'s last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Leicester City F.C.'s 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 15.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Manchester City F.C.: WWLWW
Leicester City F.C.: WDLLD
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 8Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 38%Both scored
- 38%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-02 | Manchester City F.C. vs Leicester City F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2024-12-29 | Leicester City F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. | 0–2 |
| 2023-04-15 | Manchester City vs Leicester City | 3–1 |
| 2022-10-29 | Leicester City vs Manchester City | 0–1 |
| 2021-12-26 | Manchester City vs Leicester City | 6–3 |
| 2021-09-11 | Leicester City vs Manchester City | 0–1 |
| 2021-04-03 | Leicester City vs Manchester City | 0–2 |
| 2020-09-27 | Manchester City vs Leicester City | 2–5 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Manchester City F.C. vs Leicester City F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Manchester City F.C. (78% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Manchester City F.C. vs Leicester City F.C. kick off?
- Wed, 02 Apr 2025 18:45 GMT — English Premier League 2024-2025.
- What is the Manchester City F.C. vs Leicester City F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.