Manchester United F.C.vs
Aston Villa F.C.Manchester United F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Manchester United F.C.47%
- Manchester United F.C. 47%
- Draw 29%
- Aston Villa F.C. 24%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Manchester United F.C., rating it at 47.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Manchester United F.C. won 2 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Aston Villa F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Manchester United F.C.: WWLWW
Aston Villa F.C.: WLLWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.70Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | Manchester United F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2025-12-21 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2025-05-25 | Manchester United F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2024-10-06 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2024-02-11 | Aston Villa vs Manchester United | 1–2 |
| 2023-12-26 | Manchester United vs Aston Villa | 3–2 |
| 2023-04-30 | Manchester United vs Aston Villa | 1–0 |
| 2022-11-06 | Aston Villa vs Manchester United | 3–1 |
| 2022-01-15 | Aston Villa vs Manchester United | 2–2 |
| 2021-09-25 | Manchester United vs Aston Villa | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Manchester United F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Manchester United F.C. (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Manchester United F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Manchester United F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.70 goals per game.