Aston Villa F.C.vs
Manchester United F.C.Aston Villa F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 16 Jan 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Aston Villa F.C. or draw71%
1X2: model backs Aston Villa F.C. at 42% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- Aston Villa F.C.
- Draw
- Manchester United F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Aston Villa F.C. or draw71%
- Draw or Manchester United F.C.58%
- Aston Villa F.C. or Manchester United F.C.71%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.555%
- Under 2.545%
Both teams to score
- Aston Villa F.C., last 10 home games6 of 10
- Manchester United F.C., last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Aston Villa F.C., rating it at 41.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Aston Villa F.C. won 1 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Aston Villa F.C.'s last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Manchester United F.C.'s 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Aston Villa F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 95 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Aston Villa F.C.: DWWWL
Manchester United F.C.: LDDLL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 95 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.70Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | Manchester United F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2025-12-21 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2025-05-25 | Manchester United F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2024-10-06 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2024-02-11 | Aston Villa vs Manchester United | 1–2 |
| 2023-12-26 | Manchester United vs Aston Villa | 3–2 |
| 2023-04-30 | Manchester United vs Aston Villa | 1–0 |
| 2022-11-06 | Aston Villa vs Manchester United | 3–1 |
| 2022-01-15 | Aston Villa vs Manchester United | 2–2 |
| 2021-09-25 | Manchester United vs Aston Villa | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Aston Villa F.C. vs Manchester United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Aston Villa F.C. (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Aston Villa F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 16 Jan 2027 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Aston Villa F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.70 goals per game.