Leicester City F.C.vs
Manchester United F.C.Leicester City F.C. 0-3 Manchester United F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier League 2024-2025Sun, 16 Mar 2025 19:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Manchester United F.C.48%
- Leicester City F.C. 29%
- Draw 23%
- Manchester United F.C. 48%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Manchester United F.C., rating it at 48.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Leicester City F.C. won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Manchester United F.C.'s last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Leicester City F.C.'s 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 22.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Leicester City F.C.: WDLLD
Manchester United F.C.: WLLDD
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 8Games
- 3.13Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-16 | Leicester City F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. | 0–3 |
| 2024-11-10 | Manchester United F.C. vs Leicester City F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2023-02-19 | Manchester United vs Leicester City | 3–0 |
| 2022-09-01 | Leicester City vs Manchester United | 0–1 |
| 2022-04-02 | Manchester United vs Leicester City | 1–1 |
| 2021-10-16 | Leicester City vs Manchester United | 4–2 |
| 2021-05-11 | Manchester United vs Leicester City | 1–2 |
| 2020-12-26 | Leicester City vs Manchester United | 2–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Leicester City F.C. vs Manchester United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Manchester United F.C. (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Leicester City F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. kick off?
- Sun, 16 Mar 2025 19:00 GMT — English Premier League 2024-2025.
- What is the Leicester City F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.13 goals per game.