Manchester Unitedvs
Norwich CityManchester United 3-2 Norwich City — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier League 2021-2022Sat, 16 Apr 2022 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Manchester United79%
- Manchester United 79%
- Draw 15%
- Norwich City 6%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Manchester United, rating it at 79.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Manchester United won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 79.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 15.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 4 Sep 2026.
Manchester United: WLLDD
Norwich City: LWWLL
Head-to-head
As of 4 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2022-04-16 | Manchester United vs Norwich City | 3–2 |
| 2021-12-11 | Norwich City vs Manchester United | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Manchester United vs Norwich City?
- Tofiko's model favours Manchester United (79% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Manchester United vs Norwich City kick off?
- Sat, 16 Apr 2022 14:00 GMT — English Premier League 2021-2022.
- What is the Manchester United vs Norwich City head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.