Manchester United F.C.vs
Southampton F.C.Manchester United F.C. 3-1 Southampton F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier League 2024-2025Thu, 16 Jan 2025 20:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Manchester United F.C.71%
- Manchester United F.C. 71%
- Draw 19%
- Southampton F.C. 10%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Manchester United F.C., rating it at 71.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Manchester United F.C. won 2 of 8, with 3 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 19.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Southampton F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Manchester United F.C.: WLLDD
Southampton F.C.: DWLWL
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 8Games
- 3.25Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-16 | Manchester United F.C. vs Southampton F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2024-09-14 | Southampton F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. | 0–3 |
| 2023-03-12 | Manchester United vs Southampton | 0–0 |
| 2022-08-27 | Southampton vs Manchester United | 0–1 |
| 2022-02-12 | Manchester United vs Southampton | 1–1 |
| 2021-08-22 | Southampton vs Manchester United | 1–1 |
| 2021-02-02 | Manchester United vs Southampton | 9–0 |
| 2020-11-29 | Southampton vs Manchester United | 2–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Manchester United F.C. vs Southampton F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Manchester United F.C. (71% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Manchester United F.C. vs Southampton F.C. kick off?
- Thu, 16 Jan 2025 20:00 GMT — English Premier League 2024-2025.
- What is the Manchester United F.C. vs Southampton F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 2 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.25 goals per game.