Newcastlevs
Norwich CityNewcastle 1-1 Norwich City — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier League 2021-2022Tue, 30 Nov 2021 19:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Newcastle78%
- Newcastle 78%
- Draw 15%
- Norwich City 7%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Newcastle, rating it at 78.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Newcastle won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 78.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 15.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
Newcastle: WWDDL
Norwich City: LWWLL
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2022-04-23 | Norwich City vs Newcastle | 0–3 |
| 2021-11-30 | Newcastle vs Norwich City | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Newcastle vs Norwich City?
- Tofiko's model favours Newcastle (78% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Newcastle vs Norwich City kick off?
- Tue, 30 Nov 2021 19:30 GMT — English Premier League 2021-2022.
- What is the Newcastle vs Norwich City head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.