Newcastle crestNewcastlevsNorwich City crestNorwich City

Newcastle 1-1 Norwich City — Result, H2H & Form

English Premier League 2021-2022Tue, 30 Nov 2021 19:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Newcastle78%

Tofiko78% / 15% / 7%
Market51% / 25% / 24%
  • Newcastle
  • Draw
  • Norwich City

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Newcastle, rating it at 78.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Newcastle won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Norwich City's last 5 produced 26 goals — 5.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Newcastle's 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Norwich City's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 26 Sep 2026.

Newcastle: WLWDW

Norwich City: LLLWW

Head-to-head

As of 26 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2022-04-23Norwich City vs Newcastle0–3
2021-11-30Newcastle vs Norwich City1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Newcastle vs Norwich City?
Tofiko's model favours Newcastle (78% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Newcastle vs Norwich City kick off?
Tue, 30 Nov 2021 19:30 GMT — English Premier League 2021-2022.
What is the Newcastle vs Norwich City head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legNorwich 0-3 Newcastle23 Apr 2022 →