Newcastlevs
WatfordNewcastle 1-1 Watford — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier League 2021-2022Sat, 15 Jan 2022 15:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Newcastle73%
- Newcastle 73%
- Draw 17%
- Watford 9%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Newcastle, rating it at 73.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Newcastle won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 73.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 17.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
Newcastle: WWDDL
Watford: LDLDW
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2022-01-15 | Newcastle vs Watford | 1–1 |
| 2021-09-25 | Watford vs Newcastle | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Newcastle vs Watford?
- Tofiko's model favours Newcastle (73% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Newcastle vs Watford kick off?
- Sat, 15 Jan 2022 15:00 GMT — English Premier League 2021-2022.
- What is the Newcastle vs Watford head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.