Southampton F.C.vs
Ipswich Town F.C.Southampton F.C. vs Ipswich Town F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
EFL ChampionshipTue, 28 Apr 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Southampton F.C. 2–2 Ipswich Town F.C.
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Southampton F.C.44%
- Southampton F.C. 44%
- Draw 23%
- Ipswich Town F.C. 33%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Southampton F.C., rating it at 43.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Southampton F.C. won 1 of 4, with 3 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 43.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Southampton F.C.: WWWDD
Ipswich Town F.C.: WLLWD
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 2.75Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-28 | Southampton F.C. vs Ipswich Town F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2025-08-17 | Ipswich Town F.C. vs Southampton F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2025-02-01 | Ipswich Town F.C. vs Southampton F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2024-09-21 | Southampton F.C. vs Ipswich Town F.C. | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Southampton F.C. vs Ipswich Town F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Southampton F.C. (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Southampton F.C. vs Ipswich Town F.C. kick off?
- Tue, 28 Apr 2026 18:45 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Southampton F.C. vs Ipswich Town F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 0 home wins, 3 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.