Tottenham Hotspur F.C.vs
Southampton F.C.Tottenham Hotspur F.C. 3-1 Southampton F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier League 2024-2025Sun, 06 Apr 2025 13:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Tottenham Hotspur F.C.69%
- Tottenham Hotspur F.C. 69%
- Draw 18%
- Southampton F.C. 13%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Tottenham Hotspur F.C., rating it at 69.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Tottenham Hotspur F.C. won 2 of 8, with 2 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 17.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Southampton F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Tottenham Hotspur F.C.: LWLDW
Southampton F.C.: DWLWL
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 8Games
- 4.63Avg goals
- 88%Both scored
- 88%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-06 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Southampton F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2024-12-15 | Southampton F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C. | 0–5 |
| 2023-03-18 | Southampton vs Tottenham Hotspur | 3–3 |
| 2022-08-06 | Tottenham Hotspur vs Southampton | 4–1 |
| 2022-02-09 | Tottenham Hotspur vs Southampton | 2–3 |
| 2021-12-28 | Southampton vs Tottenham Hotspur | 1–1 |
| 2021-04-21 | Tottenham Hotspur vs Southampton | 2–1 |
| 2020-09-20 | Southampton vs Tottenham Hotspur | 2–5 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Southampton F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (69% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Southampton F.C. kick off?
- Sun, 06 Apr 2025 13:00 GMT — English Premier League 2024-2025.
- What is the Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Southampton F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 4.63 goals per game.