West Bromwich(WBA) crestWest Bromwich(WBA)vsChelsea FC crestChelsea FC

West Bromwich(WBA) 3-3 Chelsea FC — Result, H2H & Form

English Premier League 2020-2021Sat, 26 Sep 2020 16:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Chelsea FC63%

  • West Bromwich(WBA) 17%
  • Draw 20%
  • Chelsea FC 63%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Chelsea FC, rating it at 63.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and West Bromwich(WBA) won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 63.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 20.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Chelsea FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

West Bromwich(WBA): DLLWW

Chelsea FC: WWWWD

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 6.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2021-04-03Chelsea FC vs West Bromwich(WBA)2–5
2020-09-26West Bromwich(WBA) vs Chelsea FC3–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win West Bromwich(WBA) vs Chelsea FC?
Tofiko's model favours Chelsea FC (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does West Bromwich(WBA) vs Chelsea FC kick off?
Sat, 26 Sep 2020 16:30 GMT — English Premier League 2020-2021.
What is the West Bromwich(WBA) vs Chelsea FC head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 6.50 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legChelsea 2-5 West Brom3 Apr 2021 →