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C.S. Maritimo crestC.S. MaritimovsRio Ave F.C. crestRio Ave F.C.

C.S. Maritimo vs Rio Ave F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats

Primeira LigaSun, 13 Dec 2026 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs C.S. Maritimo40%

C.S. Maritimo 40%
Draw 29%
Rio Ave F.C. 31%
  • C.S. Maritimo 40%
  • Draw 29%
  • Rio Ave F.C. 31%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick C.S. Maritimo, rating it at 39.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and C.S. Maritimo won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 39.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Rio Ave F.C.'s last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. C.S. Maritimo's 5 produced 13, at 2.6 per game.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Rio Ave F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

C.S. Maritimo: WDWLW

Rio Ave F.C.: WWDWW

Head-to-head

  • 4Games
  • 2.75Avg goals
  • 75%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2023-05-07Maritimo vs Rio Ave2–2
2022-12-23Rio Ave vs Maritimo1–1
2021-04-21Maritimo vs Rio Ave1–0
2020-12-28Rio Ave vs Maritimo1–3

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FAQ

Who will win C.S. Maritimo vs Rio Ave F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours C.S. Maritimo (40% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does C.S. Maritimo vs Rio Ave F.C. kick off?
Sun, 13 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the C.S. Maritimo vs Rio Ave F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.

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