Sporting CPvs
MoreirenseSporting CP vs Moreirense Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaSun, 08 Nov 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Sporting CP78%
- Sporting CP 78%
- Draw 17%
- Moreirense 5%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Sporting CP, rating it at 78.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Sporting CP won 2 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 16.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Sporting CP's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Sporting CP: WWWWD
Moreirense: LWDLD
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.60Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Moreirense vs Sporting CP | 0–3 |
| 2025-09-22 | Sporting CP vs Moreirense | 3–0 |
| 2025-04-18 | Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Moreirense | 3–1 |
| 2024-12-05 | Moreirense vs Sporting Clube de Portugal | 2–1 |
| 2024-02-19 | Moreirense vs Sporting Clube de Portugal | 0–2 |
| 2023-09-17 | Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Moreirense | 3–0 |
| 2022-03-14 | Moreirense vs Sporting Clube de Portugal | 0–2 |
| 2021-10-23 | Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Moreirense | 1–0 |
| 2021-04-05 | Moreirense vs Sporting Clube de Portugal | 1–1 |
| 2020-11-28 | Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Moreirense | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Sporting CP vs Moreirense?
- Tofiko's model favours Sporting CP (78% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Sporting CP vs Moreirense kick off?
- Sun, 08 Nov 2026 15:59 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Sporting CP vs Moreirense head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.60 goals per game.