Estrela Amadoravs
SL BenficaEstrela Amadora vs SL Benfica Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaSun, 08 Nov 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs SL Benfica76%
- Estrela Amadora 5%
- Draw 19%
- SL Benfica 76%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick SL Benfica, rating it at 75.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Estrela Amadora won none of them. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. SL Benfica's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Estrela Amadora's 5 produced 14, at 2.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 18.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- SL Benfica's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Estrela Amadora: WWDWL
SL Benfica: WWWLW
Head-to-head
- 6Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | SL Benfica vs Estrela Amadora | 4–0 |
| 2025-08-16 | Estrela Amadora vs SL Benfica | 0–1 |
| 2025-02-02 | Estrela Amadora vs SL Benfica | 2–3 |
| 2024-08-24 | SL Benfica vs Estrela Amadora | 1–0 |
| 2024-01-29 | Estrela Amadora vs SL Benfica | 1–4 |
| 2023-08-19 | SL Benfica vs Estrela Amadora | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Estrela Amadora vs SL Benfica?
- Tofiko's model favours SL Benfica (76% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Estrela Amadora vs SL Benfica kick off?
- Sun, 08 Nov 2026 15:59 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Estrela Amadora vs SL Benfica head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.