Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Porto Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaSun, 08 Nov 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Porto67%
- Vitoria Guimaraes 10%
- Draw 23%
- FC Porto 67%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Porto, rating it at 66.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Vitoria Guimaraes won 1 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 23.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Vitoria Guimaraes: WDWWW
FC Porto: WWLWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.30Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Porto | 0–1 |
| 2025-08-11 | FC Porto vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 3–0 |
| 2025-02-24 | FC Porto vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 1–1 |
| 2024-09-21 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Porto | 0–3 |
| 2024-04-07 | FC Porto vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 1–2 |
| 2023-11-11 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Porto | 1–2 |
| 2023-05-27 | FC Porto vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 3–0 |
| 2023-01-21 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Porto | 0–1 |
| 2022-04-10 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Porto | 0–1 |
| 2021-11-28 | FC Porto vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Porto?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Porto (67% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Porto kick off?
- Sun, 08 Nov 2026 15:59 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Porto head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 6 away wins, averaging 2.30 goals per game.