Vitoria Guimaraes crestVitoria GuimaraesvsFC Porto crestFC Porto

Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Porto Prediction, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSun, 08 Nov 2026 18:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

FC Porto to win67%

1X2: model backs FC Porto at 67%.

Tofiko10% / 23% / 67%
  • Vitoria Guimaraes
  • Draw
  • FC Porto

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Vitoria Guimaraes or draw33%
  • Draw or FC Porto90%
  • Vitoria Guimaraes or FC Porto77%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.546%
  • Under 2.554%

Both teams to score

  • Vitoria Guimaraes, last 10 home games4 of 10
  • FC Porto, last 10 away games6 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick FC Porto, rating it at 66.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Vitoria Guimaraes won 1 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. FC Porto's last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Vitoria Guimaraes's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 27 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Vitoria Guimaraes: LWDLD

FC Porto: WWWWL

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 27 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.30Avg goals
  • 40%Both scored
  • 60%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-01-18Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Porto0–1
2025-08-11FC Porto vs Vitoria Guimaraes3–0
2025-02-24FC Porto vs Vitoria Guimaraes1–1
2024-09-21Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Porto0–3
2024-04-07FC Porto vs Vitoria Guimaraes1–2
2023-11-11Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Porto1–2
2023-05-27FC Porto vs Vitoria Guimaraes3–0
2023-01-21Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Porto0–1
2022-04-10Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Porto0–1
2021-11-28FC Porto vs Vitoria Guimaraes2–1

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FAQ

Who will win Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Porto?
Tofiko's model favours FC Porto (67% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Porto kick off?
Sun, 08 Nov 2026 18:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Porto head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 6 away wins, averaging 2.30 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureFC Porto vs Vitória SC4 Apr 2027 →