Sporting CPvs
C.S. MaritimoSporting CP vs C.S. Maritimo Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaSun, 06 Dec 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Sporting CP80%
- Sporting CP 80%
- Draw 16%
- C.S. Maritimo 4%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Sporting CP, rating it at 79.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Sporting CP won none of them. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Sporting CP's last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. C.S. Maritimo's 5 produced 13, at 2.6 per game.
The model puts the draw at 15.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Sporting CP's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Sporting CP: WWWWD
C.S. Maritimo: WDWLW
Head-to-head
- 6Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-05-13 | Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Maritimo | 2–1 |
| 2023-01-08 | Maritimo vs Sporting Clube de Portugal | 1–0 |
| 2022-02-26 | Maritimo vs Sporting Clube de Portugal | 1–1 |
| 2021-09-24 | Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Maritimo | 1–0 |
| 2021-05-19 | Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Maritimo | 5–1 |
| 2021-02-05 | Maritimo vs Sporting Clube de Portugal | 0–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Sporting CP vs C.S. Maritimo?
- Tofiko's model favours Sporting CP (80% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Sporting CP vs C.S. Maritimo kick off?
- Sun, 06 Dec 2026 15:59 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Sporting CP vs C.S. Maritimo head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.