Hibernian F.C.vs
Celtic F.C.Hibernian F.C. vs Celtic F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
Scottish PremiershipSat, 24 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Celtic F.C.56%
- Hibernian F.C. 23%
- Draw 21%
- Celtic F.C. 56%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Celtic F.C., rating it at 55.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Hibernian F.C. won 2 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Celtic F.C.'s last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Hibernian F.C.'s 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 21.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Celtic F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 53 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Hibernian F.C.: WLDWD
Celtic F.C.: WLWWW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 53 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Hibernian F.C. vs Celtic F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2026-02-22 | Celtic F.C. vs Hibernian F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2025-11-30 | Hibernian F.C. vs Celtic F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2025-09-27 | Celtic F.C. vs Hibernian F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2025-02-22 | Hibernian F.C. vs Celtic F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2024-12-07 | Celtic F.C. vs Hibernian F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2024-08-11 | Hibernian F.C. vs Celtic F.C. | 0–2 |
| 2024-02-07 | Hibernian FC vs Celtic | 1–2 |
| 2023-12-06 | Celtic vs Hibernian FC | 4–1 |
| 2023-10-28 | Hibernian FC vs Celtic | 0–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Hibernian F.C. vs Celtic F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Celtic F.C. (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Hibernian F.C. vs Celtic F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 24 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the Hibernian F.C. vs Celtic F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 2 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.