Celtic F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Scottish PremiershipSat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Celtic F.C.81%
- Celtic F.C. 81%
- Draw 13%
- Kilmarnock FC 6%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Celtic F.C., rating it at 80.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 9 times, and Celtic F.C. won 7 of 9, with 1 drawn. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 13.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Celtic F.C.: WWDDL
Kilmarnock FC: LLDWW
Head-to-head
- 9Games
- 3.89Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 78%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Kilmarnock FC vs Celtic F.C. | 1–5 |
| 2026-02-15 | Kilmarnock FC vs Celtic F.C. | 2–3 |
| 2025-11-09 | Celtic F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC | 4–0 |
| 2025-09-14 | Kilmarnock FC vs Celtic F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2025-04-12 | Celtic F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC | 5–1 |
| 2024-11-10 | Kilmarnock FC vs Celtic F.C. | 0–2 |
| 2024-08-04 | Celtic F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC | 4–0 |
| 2024-05-15 | Kilmarnock vs Celtic | — |
| 2024-02-17 | Celtic vs Kilmarnock | 1–1 |
| 2023-12-10 | Kilmarnock vs Celtic | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Celtic F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Celtic F.C. (81% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Celtic F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC kick off?
- Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the Celtic F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 9 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.89 goals per game.