Kilmarnock FCvs
Celtic F.C.Kilmarnock FC vs Celtic F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
Scottish PremiershipSun, 09 Aug 2026 12:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Celtic F.C.69%
- Kilmarnock FC 13%
- Draw 18%
- Celtic F.C. 69%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Celtic F.C., rating it at 68.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 9 times, and Kilmarnock FC won none of them. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 17.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Kilmarnock FC: LDWWD
Celtic F.C.: WDDLD
Head-to-head
- 9Games
- 3.67Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 78%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-15 | Kilmarnock FC vs Celtic F.C. | 2–3 |
| 2025-11-09 | Celtic F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC | 4–0 |
| 2025-09-14 | Kilmarnock FC vs Celtic F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2025-04-12 | Celtic F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC | 5–1 |
| 2024-11-10 | Kilmarnock FC vs Celtic F.C. | 0–2 |
| 2024-08-04 | Celtic F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC | 4–0 |
| 2024-05-15 | Kilmarnock vs Celtic | — |
| 2024-02-17 | Celtic vs Kilmarnock | 1–1 |
| 2023-12-10 | Kilmarnock vs Celtic | 2–1 |
| 2023-10-07 | Celtic vs Kilmarnock | 3–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Kilmarnock FC vs Celtic F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Celtic F.C. (69% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Kilmarnock FC vs Celtic F.C. kick off?
- Sun, 09 Aug 2026 12:30 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the Kilmarnock FC vs Celtic F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 9 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.