Motherwell FCvs
St Mirren F.C.Motherwell FC vs St Mirren F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
Scottish PremiershipSat, 31 Oct 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Motherwell FC55%
- Motherwell FC 55%
- Draw 24%
- St Mirren F.C. 21%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Motherwell FC, rating it at 54.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Motherwell FC won 4 of 10, with 5 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 24.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 60 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Motherwell FC: DLLDW
St Mirren F.C.: DLWWL
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 60 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.40Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | St Mirren F.C. vs Motherwell FC | 3–3 |
| 2026-02-21 | St Mirren F.C. vs Motherwell FC | 0–5 |
| 2026-01-03 | Motherwell FC vs St Mirren F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2025-08-09 | St Mirren F.C. vs Motherwell FC | 0–0 |
| 2025-03-15 | Motherwell FC vs St. Mirren | 2–2 |
| 2024-12-07 | St. Mirren vs Motherwell FC | 0–1 |
| 2024-09-28 | Motherwell FC vs St. Mirren | 2–1 |
| 2024-03-30 | Motherwell FC vs St. Mirren | 1–1 |
| 2023-12-16 | St. Mirren vs Motherwell FC | 0–0 |
| 2023-09-16 | Motherwell FC vs St. Mirren | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Motherwell FC vs St Mirren F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Motherwell FC (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Motherwell FC vs St Mirren F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 31 Oct 2026 15:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the Motherwell FC vs St Mirren F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 2 home wins, 5 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.40 goals per game.