Motherwell FCvs
St Mirren F.C.Motherwell FC vs St Mirren F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
Scottish PremiershipSat, 31 Oct 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Motherwell FC55%
- Motherwell FC
- Draw
- St Mirren F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Motherwell FC or draw79%
- Draw or St Mirren F.C.45%
- Motherwell FC or St Mirren F.C.76%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.545%
- Under 2.555%
Both teams to score
- Motherwell FC, last 10 home games4 of 10
- St Mirren F.C., last 10 away games3 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (239 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Motherwell FC, rating it at 54.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Motherwell FC won 4 of 10, with 5 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 20 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Motherwell FC: LLLLW
St Mirren F.C.: LLLLW
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 20 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.40Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | St Mirren F.C. vs Motherwell FC | 3–3 |
| 2026-02-21 | St Mirren F.C. vs Motherwell FC | 0–5 |
| 2026-01-03 | Motherwell FC vs St Mirren F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2025-08-09 | St Mirren F.C. vs Motherwell FC | 0–0 |
| 2025-03-15 | Motherwell FC vs St. Mirren | 2–2 |
| 2024-12-07 | St. Mirren vs Motherwell FC | 0–1 |
| 2024-09-28 | Motherwell FC vs St. Mirren | 2–1 |
| 2024-03-30 | Motherwell FC vs St. Mirren | 1–1 |
| 2023-12-16 | St. Mirren vs Motherwell FC | 0–0 |
| 2023-09-16 | Motherwell FC vs St. Mirren | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Motherwell FC vs St Mirren F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Motherwell FC (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Motherwell FC vs St Mirren F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 31 Oct 2026 15:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the Motherwell FC vs St Mirren F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 2 home wins, 5 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.40 goals per game.