Dundee United F.C. vs Dundee F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
Scottish PremiershipSat, 22 Aug 2026 16:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Dundee United F.C.49%
- Dundee United F.C. 49%
- Draw 24%
- Dundee F.C. 27%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Dundee United F.C., rating it at 49.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Dundee United F.C. won 3 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 23.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Dundee F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Dundee United F.C.: DLWWL
Dundee F.C.: WDLWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.80Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Dundee United F.C. vs Dundee F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Dundee F.C. vs Dundee United F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2026-01-03 | Dundee United F.C. vs Dundee F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-08-31 | Dundee F.C. vs Dundee United F.C. | 0–2 |
| 2025-03-16 | Dundee United F.C. vs Dundee F.C. | 2–4 |
| 2025-01-02 | Dundee F.C. vs Dundee United F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2024-08-04 | Dundee United F.C. vs Dundee F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2022-04-09 | Dundee United vs Dundee | 2–2 |
| 2022-02-01 | Dundee vs Dundee United | 0–0 |
| 2021-09-19 | Dundee United vs Dundee | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Dundee United F.C. vs Dundee F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Dundee United F.C. (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Dundee United F.C. vs Dundee F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 22 Aug 2026 16:45 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the Dundee United F.C. vs Dundee F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 2 home wins, 4 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.80 goals per game.