Dundee United F.C.vs
Kilmarnock FCDundee United F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC Prediction, H2H & Form
Scottish PremiershipSat, 19 Dec 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Dundee United F.C.46%
- Dundee United F.C. 46%
- Draw 25%
- Kilmarnock FC 29%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Dundee United F.C., rating it at 46.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Dundee United F.C. won 1 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 25.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Kilmarnock FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 109 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Dundee United F.C.: WLLLD
Kilmarnock FC: LWLLD
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 109 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.70Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Kilmarnock FC vs Dundee United F.C. | 0–4 |
| 2026-05-02 | Kilmarnock FC vs Dundee United F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Dundee United F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC | 1–1 |
| 2025-11-29 | Kilmarnock FC vs Dundee United F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2025-09-27 | Dundee United F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC | 0–2 |
| 2025-02-01 | Kilmarnock FC vs Dundee United F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2024-12-07 | Dundee United F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC | 1–1 |
| 2024-09-28 | Kilmarnock FC vs Dundee United F.C. | 3–3 |
| 2023-02-01 | Kilmarnock vs Dundee United | 1–0 |
| 2022-11-09 | Dundee United vs Kilmarnock | 4–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Dundee United F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Dundee United F.C. (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Dundee United F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC kick off?
- Sat, 19 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the Dundee United F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.70 goals per game.