Heart of Midlothian F.C.vs
Aberdeen F.C.Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs Aberdeen F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
Scottish PremiershipWed, 02 Dec 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Heart of Midlothian F.C.61%
- Heart of Midlothian F.C. 61%
- Draw 23%
- Aberdeen F.C. 16%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Heart of Midlothian F.C., rating it at 61.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Heart of Midlothian F.C. won 2 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 22.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Heart of Midlothian F.C.: LLWLW
Aberdeen F.C.: WWWWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.10Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 30%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Aberdeen F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2026-02-28 | Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs Aberdeen F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2025-11-23 | Aberdeen F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2025-08-04 | Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs Aberdeen F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2025-01-12 | Aberdeen F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2024-12-01 | Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs Aberdeen F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2024-10-06 | Aberdeen F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. | 3–2 |
| 2024-01-27 | Heart of Midlothian FC vs Aberdeen | 2–0 |
| 2023-12-09 | Aberdeen vs Heart of Midlothian FC | 2–1 |
| 2023-09-16 | Heart of Midlothian FC vs Aberdeen | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs Aberdeen F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Heart of Midlothian F.C. (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs Aberdeen F.C. kick off?
- Wed, 02 Dec 2026 19:45 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs Aberdeen F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 8 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.10 goals per game.