Heart of Midlothian F.C.vs
Dundee United F.C.Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs Dundee United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
Scottish PremiershipSun, 09 Aug 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Heart of Midlothian F.C.62%
- Heart of Midlothian F.C. 62%
- Draw 22%
- Dundee United F.C. 15%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Heart of Midlothian F.C., rating it at 62.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 9 times, and Heart of Midlothian F.C. won 3 of 9, with 2 drawn. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 22.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Heart of Midlothian F.C.: LLWLW
Dundee United F.C.: DLWWL
Head-to-head
- 9Games
- 2.89Avg goals
- 56%Both scored
- 56%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | Dundee United F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. | 0–3 |
| 2025-11-09 | Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs Dundee United F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2025-08-10 | Dundee United F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. | 2–3 |
| 2025-04-06 | Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs Dundee United F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-01-05 | Dundee United F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2024-09-01 | Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs Dundee United F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2023-02-04 | Heart of Midlothian FC vs Dundee United | 3–1 |
| 2022-12-24 | Dundee United vs Heart of Midlothian FC | 2–2 |
| 2022-08-14 | Heart of Midlothian FC vs Dundee United | 4–1 |
| 2022-04-24 | Dundee United vs Hearts | — |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs Dundee United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Heart of Midlothian F.C. (62% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs Dundee United F.C. kick off?
- Sun, 09 Aug 2026 14:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs Dundee United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 9 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 2.89 goals per game.