Rangers F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC Prediction, H2H & Form
Scottish PremiershipSat, 10 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Rangers F.C.76%
- Rangers F.C. 76%
- Draw 15%
- Kilmarnock FC 8%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Rangers F.C., rating it at 76.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Rangers F.C. won 5 of 10. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Kilmarnock FC's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 4. Rangers F.C.'s 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 15.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Kilmarnock FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 39 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Rangers F.C.: WLWWD
Kilmarnock FC: LWLLD
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 39 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.90Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 | Rangers F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC | 5–1 |
| 2025-12-06 | Kilmarnock FC vs Rangers F.C. | 0–3 |
| 2025-10-26 | Rangers F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC | 3–1 |
| 2025-02-26 | Kilmarnock FC vs Rangers F.C. | 2–4 |
| 2024-12-04 | Rangers F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC | 6–0 |
| 2024-10-20 | Kilmarnock FC vs Rangers F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2024-05-05 | Glasgow Rangers vs Kilmarnock | 4–1 |
| 2024-02-28 | Kilmarnock vs Glasgow Rangers | 1–2 |
| 2024-01-02 | Glasgow Rangers vs Kilmarnock | 3–1 |
| 2023-08-05 | Kilmarnock vs Glasgow Rangers | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Rangers F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Rangers F.C. (76% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Rangers F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC kick off?
- Sat, 10 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the Rangers F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 0 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.90 goals per game.