Motherwell FCvs
Falkirk F.C.Motherwell FC vs Falkirk F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
Scottish PremiershipSun, 09 Aug 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Motherwell FC52%
- Motherwell FC 52%
- Draw 24%
- Falkirk F.C. 25%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Motherwell FC, rating it at 51.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Motherwell FC won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 51.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Motherwell FC's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Falkirk F.C.'s 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Motherwell FC: DWWWL
Falkirk F.C.: LWDWL
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 2.25Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Falkirk F.C. vs Motherwell FC | 1–0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Motherwell FC vs Falkirk F.C. | 2–3 |
| 2025-12-03 | Falkirk F.C. vs Motherwell FC | 0–0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Motherwell FC vs Falkirk F.C. | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Motherwell FC vs Falkirk F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Motherwell FC (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Motherwell FC vs Falkirk F.C. kick off?
- Sun, 09 Aug 2026 14:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the Motherwell FC vs Falkirk F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.