Kilmarnock FCvs
Motherwell FCKilmarnock FC vs Motherwell FC Prediction, H2H & Form
Scottish PremiershipSat, 17 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Kilmarnock FC38%
- Kilmarnock FC
- Draw
- Motherwell FC
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Kilmarnock FC, rating it at 38.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Kilmarnock FC won 1 of 10, with 5 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Motherwell FC's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 4. Kilmarnock FC's 5 produced 6, at 1.2 per game.
Recent form
As of 21 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 26 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Kilmarnock FC: DWDDL
Motherwell FC: LLLWD
Head-to-head
As of 21 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 26 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.40Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | Motherwell FC vs Kilmarnock FC | 4–0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Kilmarnock FC vs Motherwell FC | 1–3 |
| 2025-08-30 | Motherwell FC vs Kilmarnock FC | 2–2 |
| 2025-04-05 | Kilmarnock FC vs Motherwell FC | 2–0 |
| 2025-01-08 | Kilmarnock FC vs Motherwell FC | 0–0 |
| 2024-12-20 | Motherwell FC vs Kilmarnock FC | 1–1 |
| 2024-02-03 | Motherwell FC vs Kilmarnock | 1–1 |
| 2023-11-04 | Kilmarnock vs Motherwell FC | 1–0 |
| 2023-08-26 | Motherwell FC vs Kilmarnock | 2–1 |
| 2023-02-25 | Kilmarnock vs Motherwell FC | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Kilmarnock FC vs Motherwell FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Kilmarnock FC (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Kilmarnock FC vs Motherwell FC kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the Kilmarnock FC vs Motherwell FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 5 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.40 goals per game.