Kilmarnock FCvs
Motherwell FCKilmarnock FC vs Motherwell FC Prediction, H2H & Form
Scottish PremiershipSat, 17 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Kilmarnock FC38%
- Kilmarnock FC
- Draw
- Motherwell FC
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Kilmarnock FC or draw63%
- Draw or Motherwell FC62%
- Kilmarnock FC or Motherwell FC76%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.550%
- Under 2.550%
Both teams to score
- Kilmarnock FC, last 10 home games5 of 10
- Motherwell FC, last 10 away games5 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (239 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Kilmarnock FC, rating it at 38.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Kilmarnock FC won 1 of 10, with 5 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026.
Kilmarnock FC: LDWDD
Motherwell FC: LLLLW
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026.
- 10Games
- 2.40Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | Motherwell FC vs Kilmarnock FC | 4–0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Kilmarnock FC vs Motherwell FC | 1–3 |
| 2025-08-30 | Motherwell FC vs Kilmarnock FC | 2–2 |
| 2025-04-05 | Kilmarnock FC vs Motherwell FC | 2–0 |
| 2025-01-08 | Kilmarnock FC vs Motherwell FC | 0–0 |
| 2024-12-20 | Motherwell FC vs Kilmarnock FC | 1–1 |
| 2024-02-03 | Motherwell FC vs Kilmarnock | 1–1 |
| 2023-11-04 | Kilmarnock vs Motherwell FC | 1–0 |
| 2023-08-26 | Motherwell FC vs Kilmarnock | 2–1 |
| 2023-02-25 | Kilmarnock vs Motherwell FC | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Kilmarnock FC vs Motherwell FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Kilmarnock FC (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Kilmarnock FC vs Motherwell FC kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the Kilmarnock FC vs Motherwell FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 5 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.40 goals per game.