Celtic F.C.vs
Rangers F.C.Celtic F.C. vs Rangers F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
Scottish PremiershipSun, 20 Sep 2026 11:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Celtic F.C.54%
- Celtic F.C. 54%
- Draw 23%
- Rangers F.C. 23%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Celtic F.C., rating it at 53.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 9 times, and Celtic F.C. won 2 of 9, with 3 drawn. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Celtic F.C.'s last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Rangers F.C.'s 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 22.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Celtic F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 19 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Celtic F.C.: WLWWW
Rangers F.C.: WLWWD
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 19 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 9Games
- 3.56Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 89%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Celtic F.C. vs Rangers F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2026-03-01 | Rangers F.C. vs Celtic F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2026-01-03 | Celtic F.C. vs Rangers F.C. | 1–3 |
| 2025-08-31 | Rangers F.C. vs Celtic F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2025-03-16 | Celtic F.C. vs Rangers F.C. | 2–3 |
| 2025-01-02 | Rangers F.C. vs Celtic F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2024-09-01 | Celtic F.C. vs Rangers F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2024-05-11 | Celtic vs Glasgow Rangers | — |
| 2024-04-07 | Glasgow Rangers vs Celtic | 3–3 |
| 2023-12-30 | Celtic vs Glasgow Rangers | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Celtic F.C. vs Rangers F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Celtic F.C. (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Celtic F.C. vs Rangers F.C. kick off?
- Sun, 20 Sep 2026 11:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the Celtic F.C. vs Rangers F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 9 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.56 goals per game.