St Johnstone F.C.vs
Heart of Midlothian F.C.St Johnstone F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
Scottish PremiershipWed, 30 Dec 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Heart of Midlothian F.C.53%
- St Johnstone F.C. 22%
- Draw 25%
- Heart of Midlothian F.C. 53%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Heart of Midlothian F.C., rating it at 52.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and St Johnstone F.C. won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 25.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 120 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
St Johnstone F.C.: LLWDL
Heart of Midlothian F.C.: WDDWD
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 120 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.90Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs St Johnstone F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2025-02-23 | St Johnstone F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2024-12-22 | Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs St Johnstone F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2024-11-02 | St Johnstone F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2024-02-07 | St. Johnstone vs Heart of Midlothian FC | 0–1 |
| 2023-11-25 | Heart of Midlothian FC vs St. Johnstone | 1–0 |
| 2023-08-05 | St. Johnstone vs Heart of Midlothian FC | 0–2 |
| 2023-03-04 | Heart of Midlothian FC vs St. Johnstone | 3–0 |
| 2022-12-28 | St. Johnstone vs Heart of Midlothian FC | 2–3 |
| 2022-08-28 | Heart of Midlothian FC vs St. Johnstone | 3–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win St Johnstone F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Heart of Midlothian F.C. (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does St Johnstone F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. kick off?
- Wed, 30 Dec 2026 19:45 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the St Johnstone F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 0 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 2.90 goals per game.