Kilmarnock FCvs
St Johnstone F.C.Kilmarnock FC vs St Johnstone F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
Scottish PremiershipSat, 31 Oct 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Kilmarnock FC52%
- Kilmarnock FC 52%
- Draw 25%
- St Johnstone F.C. 23%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Kilmarnock FC, rating it at 52.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Kilmarnock FC won 1 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Kilmarnock FC's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 4. St Johnstone F.C.'s 5 produced 14, at 2.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 25.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Kilmarnock FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 60 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Kilmarnock FC: LWLLD
St Johnstone F.C.: LLWDL
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 60 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.90Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | St Johnstone F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC | 4–3 |
| 2025-02-15 | Kilmarnock FC vs St Johnstone F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2024-11-23 | St Johnstone F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC | 1–0 |
| 2024-08-11 | Kilmarnock FC vs St Johnstone F.C. | 0–3 |
| 2024-04-13 | St. Johnstone vs Kilmarnock | 0–2 |
| 2023-12-23 | Kilmarnock vs St. Johnstone | 2–1 |
| 2023-11-01 | St. Johnstone vs Kilmarnock | 2–1 |
| 2023-03-18 | Kilmarnock vs St. Johnstone | 1–1 |
| 2022-10-29 | St. Johnstone vs Kilmarnock | 1–0 |
| 2022-10-05 | Kilmarnock vs St. Johnstone | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Kilmarnock FC vs St Johnstone F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Kilmarnock FC (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Kilmarnock FC vs St Johnstone F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 31 Oct 2026 15:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the Kilmarnock FC vs St Johnstone F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.90 goals per game.