St Mirren F.C.vs
Falkirk F.C.St Mirren F.C. vs Falkirk F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
Scottish PremiershipSat, 19 Dec 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs St Mirren F.C.39%
- St Mirren F.C. 39%
- Draw 25%
- Falkirk F.C. 35%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick St Mirren F.C., rating it at 39.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and St Mirren F.C. won 3 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 39.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. St Mirren F.C.'s last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 2. Falkirk F.C.'s 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 25.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
St Mirren F.C.: WLWWW
Falkirk F.C.: LWDWL
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Falkirk F.C. vs St Mirren F.C. | 0–2 |
| 2026-03-21 | Falkirk F.C. vs St Mirren F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2026-01-10 | St Mirren F.C. vs Falkirk F.C. | 0–2 |
| 2025-09-13 | Falkirk F.C. vs St Mirren F.C. | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win St Mirren F.C. vs Falkirk F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours St Mirren F.C. (39% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does St Mirren F.C. vs Falkirk F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 19 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the St Mirren F.C. vs Falkirk F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.