Heart of Midlothian F.C. crestHeart of Midlothian F.C.vsSt Mirren F.C. crestSt Mirren F.C.

Heart of Midlothian F.C. 5-0 St Mirren F.C. — Result, H2H & Form

Scottish PremiershipSat, 10 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Heart of Midlothian F.C.62%

Tofiko62% / 22% / 15%
Market67% / 19% / 15%
  • Heart of Midlothian F.C.
  • Draw
  • St Mirren F.C.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Heart of Midlothian F.C., rating it at 62.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 9 times, and Heart of Midlothian F.C. won 4 of 9, with 1 drawn. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

What to keep in mind

  • Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Recent form

As of 11 Oct 2026.

Heart of Midlothian F.C.: WDLW

St Mirren F.C.: LLLLW

Head-to-head

As of 11 Oct 2026.

  • 9Games
  • 3.11Avg goals
  • 44%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-10-10Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs St Mirren F.C.5–0
2026-02-03St Mirren F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C.1–0
2026-01-14Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs St Mirren F.C.2–0
2025-10-29St Mirren F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C.2–2
2025-02-26Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs St. Mirren3–1
2024-10-19Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs St. Mirren4–0
2024-09-21St. Mirren vs Heart of Midlothian F.C.2–1
2024-05-15St. Mirren vs Heart of Midlothian FC—
2024-04-06St. Mirren vs Heart of Midlothian FC1–2
2023-12-23Heart of Midlothian FC vs St. Mirren2–0

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FAQ

Who will win Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs St Mirren F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Heart of Midlothian F.C. (62% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs St Mirren F.C. kick off?
Sat, 10 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
What is the Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs St Mirren F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 9 meetings: 7 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.11 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureSt Mirren vs Heart Of Midlothian5 Dec 2026 →Next meeting at this venueHeart Of Midlothian vs St Mirren30 Jan 2027 →