Heart of Midlothian F.C. 5-0 St Mirren F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
Scottish PremiershipSat, 10 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Heart of Midlothian F.C.62%
Tofiko62% / 22% / 15%
Market67% / 19% / 15%
- Heart of Midlothian F.C.
- Draw
- St Mirren F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Heart of Midlothian F.C., rating it at 62.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 9 times, and Heart of Midlothian F.C. won 4 of 9, with 1 drawn. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Recent form
As of 11 Oct 2026.
Heart of Midlothian F.C.: WDLW
St Mirren F.C.: LLLLW
Head-to-head
As of 11 Oct 2026.
- 9Games
- 3.11Avg goals
- 44%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs St Mirren F.C. | 5–0 |
| 2026-02-03 | St Mirren F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2026-01-14 | Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs St Mirren F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2025-10-29 | St Mirren F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2025-02-26 | Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs St. Mirren | 3–1 |
| 2024-10-19 | Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs St. Mirren | 4–0 |
| 2024-09-21 | St. Mirren vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2024-05-15 | St. Mirren vs Heart of Midlothian FC | — |
| 2024-04-06 | St. Mirren vs Heart of Midlothian FC | 1–2 |
| 2023-12-23 | Heart of Midlothian FC vs St. Mirren | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs St Mirren F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Heart of Midlothian F.C. (62% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs St Mirren F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 10 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs St Mirren F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 9 meetings: 7 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.11 goals per game.