AD Ceuta crestAD CeutavsMalaga CF crestMalaga CF

AD Ceuta 1-4 Malaga CF — Result, H2H & Form

Spanish Segunda DivisionSat, 16 May 2026 14:15 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Malaga CF46%

Tofiko29% / 25% / 46%
Market22% / 23% / 55%
  • AD Ceuta
  • Draw
  • Malaga CF

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Malaga CF, rating it at 46.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and AD Ceuta won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

Recent form

As of 23 Sep 2026.

AD Ceuta: DLLLL

Malaga CF: LLDDL

Head-to-head

As of 23 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 3.67Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-07AD Ceuta vs Malaga CF2–1
2026-05-16AD Ceuta vs Malaga CF1–4
2026-01-11Malaga CF vs AD Ceuta2–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win AD Ceuta vs Malaga CF?
Tofiko's model favours Malaga CF (46% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does AD Ceuta vs Malaga CF kick off?
Sat, 16 May 2026 14:15 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
What is the AD Ceuta vs Malaga CF head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

First legMalaga 2-1 AD Ceuta FC11 Jan 2026 →