AD Ceutavs
Malaga CFAD Ceuta vs Malaga CF Prediction, H2H & Stats
Spanish Segunda DivisionSat, 16 May 2026 14:15 GMTStatus: finished
Final: AD Ceuta 1–4 Malaga CF
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Malaga CF46%
- AD Ceuta 29%
- Draw 25%
- Malaga CF 46%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Malaga CF, rating it at 46.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and AD Ceuta won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 46.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Malaga CF's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. AD Ceuta's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Malaga CF's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
AD Ceuta: WWLLW
Malaga CF: LWDDW
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 3.67Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | AD Ceuta vs Malaga CF | 2–1 |
| 2026-05-16 | AD Ceuta vs Malaga CF | 1–4 |
| 2026-01-11 | Malaga CF vs AD Ceuta | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win AD Ceuta vs Malaga CF?
- Tofiko's model favours Malaga CF (46% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does AD Ceuta vs Malaga CF kick off?
- Sat, 16 May 2026 14:15 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
- What is the AD Ceuta vs Malaga CF head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.